Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 107.56
Price - 52 Week High: 118.25
Price - 52 Week Low: 72.70
Price Date (Latest): 9/22/20
Median Price Target: 104.25
Diff from Prev Close: -3.31
% Difference: -3.08

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.71

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.08
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.15
Yield (%): 3.35

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3.19 3.35 2.97 3.27 5 2 -- 1.20
Annual 12/1/21 3.17 3.52 2.93 3.13 7 2 -- 1.09
Annual 12/1/20 3.18 3.29 3.05 3.20 6 1 -- 1.71
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.77 0.85 0.72 0.74 3 1 -- 1.32
Quarterly 6/1/21 0.80 0.89 0.75 0.76 3 1 -- 2.13
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.78 0.82 0.75 0.79 6 2 -- 2.40
Quarterly 12/1/20 0.80 0.84 0.76 0.79 6 2 -- 1.70

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3.08 3.06 0.80
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 2.88 13.70
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.80 0.73 9.59
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.83 0.76 9.57
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.82 0.80 3.14
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.79 0.81 -1.99

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 17.53 17.94 17.11 17.53 2 1 -- 1.39
Annual 12/1/21 17.14 17.16 17.11 17.14 2 1 -- 0.94
Annual 12/1/20 17.08 17.25 16.90 17.08 2 1 -- 0.41

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 19.61 18.31 7.09
Annual 12/1/18 18.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 77.51 -75.93

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.19
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 4.71 4.71 4.71 4.71 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 4.89 5.14 4.64 4.89 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.74 4.84 2.63 3.74 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.19 4.87 6.57
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.57 1.11 41.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.38 1.23 12.11
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.19 1.25 -4.80

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.56
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3.76 3.96 3.60 3.76 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 3.65 3.90 3.12 3.67 10 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.60 3.63 3.56 3.60 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.92 0.94 0.90 0.92 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 0.97 1.00 0.94 0.97 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3.56 3.56 0.11
Annual 12/1/18 3.36 3.35 0.43
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 3.14 -0.68
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.90 0.91 -0.88
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.89 1.12

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 634.96
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 619.95 708.95 468.19 651.34 4 1 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/21 626.94 680.52 582.00 625.24 6 2 -- 0.55
Annual 12/1/20 613.01 642.86 576.00 613.00 5 -- 1 -0.18
Quarterly 3/1/21 155.85 155.85 155.85 155.85 1 1 -- 4.14
Quarterly 6/1/21 157.15 157.15 157.15 157.15 1 1 -- 4.16
Quarterly 9/1/20 153.36 157.95 148.77 153.36 2 -- 1 -1.18
Quarterly 12/1/20 156.05 160.56 151.54 156.05 2 -- 1 -0.57

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 634.96 626.92 1.28
Annual 12/1/18 619.70 584.79 5.97
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 520.86 3.98
Quarterly 6/1/20 149.99 149.53 0.31
Quarterly 3/1/20 157.19 156.35 0.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 164.65 165.24 -0.36
Quarterly 9/1/19 162.64 161.56 0.67

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 854.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 875.63 932.91 798.30 889.00 5 1 -- 0.97
Annual 12/1/21 836.92 906.99 760.50 849.00 7 2 -- 0.51
Annual 12/1/20 830.16 866.44 782.50 835.00 7 1 1 0.14
Quarterly 3/1/21 212.64 212.64 212.64 212.64 1 1 -- 3.00
Quarterly 6/1/21 214.22 214.22 214.22 214.22 1 1 -- 3.02
Quarterly 9/1/20 204.55 214.09 195.00 204.55 2 -- 1 -0.89
Quarterly 12/1/20 204.39 217.07 191.70 204.39 2 -- 1 -0.43

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 854.82 852.46 0.28
Annual 12/1/18 828.75 799.60 3.65
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 730.65 0.58
Quarterly 6/1/20 206.01 201.43 2.28
Quarterly 3/1/20 212.47 210.06 1.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 219.39 215.45 1.83
Quarterly 9/1/19 218.69 213.85 2.26

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.08
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3.19 3.34 2.97 3.27 3 1 -- 0.84
Annual 12/1/21 3.17 3.52 2.93 3.13 5 1 1 0.32
Annual 12/1/20 3.16 3.29 3.05 3.19 5 1 1 0.32
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.81 0.85 0.76 0.81 2 1 -- 1.26
Quarterly 6/1/21 0.84 0.89 0.78 0.84 2 1 -- 1.83
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.78 0.82 0.75 0.79 5 1 1 0.26
Quarterly 12/1/20 0.80 0.84 0.78 0.79 5 1 1 0.50

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3.08 3.11 -0.96
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 3.00 9.18
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 2.82 33.33
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.80 0.73 8.99
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.83 0.75 10.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.82 0.82 0.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.83 0.78 5.96

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,980.74
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3,507.44 5,942.90 1,071.98 3,507.44 2 1 -- 12.50
Annual 12/1/21 3,362.84 5,632.74 1,092.94 3,362.84 2 1 -- 7.64
Annual 12/1/20 3,234.24 5,245.60 1,222.87 3,234.24 2 1 -- 1.71

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4,980.74 4,989.26 -0.17
Annual 12/1/18 4,754.02 4,211.68 12.88
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 419.97
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 454.68 506.00 418.22 447.25 4 1 1 -0.16
Annual 12/1/21 430.22 475.49 395.57 421.22 7 1 1 0.19
Annual 12/1/20 418.87 435.02 394.50 422.00 7 1 1 0.46
Quarterly 3/1/21 104.08 110.30 97.86 104.08 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 105.38 114.60 96.15 105.38 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 101.09 106.10 95.92 101.18 4 -- 1 -0.74
Quarterly 12/1/20 103.99 108.40 99.24 104.16 4 -- 1 -0.67

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 419.97 418.02 0.46
Annual 12/1/18 415.29 404.68 2.62
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 368.24 27.88
Quarterly 6/1/20 102.91 97.26 5.81
Quarterly 3/1/20 108.18 103.27 4.75
Quarterly 12/1/19 112.28 108.97 3.04
Quarterly 9/1/19 108.09 108.89 -0.74

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 455.26 455.26 455.26 455.26 1 -- 1 -4.94
Annual 12/1/20 460.39 460.39 460.39 460.39 1 -- 1 -3.73

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.96
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 18.26 18.80 17.72 18.26 2 -- -- 0.66
Annual 12/1/21 16.72 18.50 14.20 17.45 3 -- -- 1.15
Annual 12/1/20 13.11 17.30 3.46 15.84 4 -- -- 0.19

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.96 13.67 3.29
Annual 12/1/18 17.43 16.58 0.86
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 11.69 8.80

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,130.18
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,270.23 1,415.00 1,192.70 1,203.00 3 -- 1 -0.86
Annual 12/1/21 1,181.42 1,354.00 1,130.93 1,159.00 7 -- 2 -1.40
Annual 12/1/20 1,132.72 1,146.61 1,116.41 1,132.60 7 -- 2 -0.35
Quarterly 3/1/21 297.67 334.70 281.76 287.11 4 -- 1 -0.15
Quarterly 6/1/21 299.63 336.80 280.15 290.79 4 -- 1 -0.18
Quarterly 9/1/20 282.75 289.58 277.11 281.90 6 -- 2 -0.78
Quarterly 12/1/20 284.26 291.02 279.31 283.85 6 -- 2 -0.66

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,130.18 1,131.01 -0.07
Annual 12/1/18 1,039.34 1,038.39 0.09
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Quarterly 6/1/20 279.31 285.54 -2.18
Quarterly 3/1/20 286.70 293.01 -2.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 288.67 289.61 -0.32
Quarterly 9/1/19 290.92 291.07 -0.05

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 34.92 33.78 33.90

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 4.22 -0.37 0.66

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