Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 106.97
Price - 52 Week High: 124.46
Price - 52 Week Low: 86.99
Price Date (Latest): 11/20/19
Median Price Target: 116.90
Diff from Prev Close: 9.93
% Difference: 9.28

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.67

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.20
Yield (%): 3.37

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.39 3.50 3.28 3.40 4 1 2 0.89
Annual 12/1/20 3.23 3.33 3.13 3.24 4 1 2 0.23
Annual 12/1/19 3.06 3.09 3.03 3.07 3 1 1 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.75 0.77 0.72 0.75 2 -- 1 -0.67
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.79 0.81 0.77 0.79 2 -- 1 -1.25
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.84 0.86 0.82 0.84 2 -- 1 -0.79
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.79 3 -- 1 -1.14

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 2.88 13.70
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.79 0.81 -1.99
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.77 0.75 3.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.71 0.69 2.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.76 5.96

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.61 17.61 17.61 17.61 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 17.65 17.65 17.65 17.65 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 17.73 17.73 17.73 17.73 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 18.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 77.51 -75.93
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 70.31 -74.64

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.33 5.33 5.33 5.33 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.11 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4.87 4.87 4.87 4.87 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.36
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.86 4.05 3.60 3.89 5 1 -- 1.64
Annual 12/1/20 3.72 3.79 3.60 3.74 9 1 1 0.15
Annual 12/1/19 3.56 3.56 3.52 3.56 9 1 1 0.22
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 2 -- 1 -0.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 4 1 -- 1.12

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.36 3.35 0.43
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 3.14 -0.68
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 2.94 -0.40
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.89 1.12
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.88 2.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.86 0.86 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.86 0.84 2.38

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 619.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 617.49 703.82 531.17 617.49 2 -- 1 -1.03
Annual 12/1/20 665.85 673.94 654.00 669.62 3 -- 3 -0.95
Annual 12/1/19 625.90 637.18 609.00 631.52 3 2 1 -0.17
Quarterly 3/1/20 158.68 158.68 158.68 158.68 1 -- 1 -0.97
Quarterly 6/1/20 167.07 167.07 167.07 167.07 1 1 -- 0.19
Quarterly 9/1/20 171.44 171.44 171.44 171.44 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 165.24 168.07 162.41 165.24 2 1 1 0.49

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 619.70 584.79 5.97
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 520.86 3.98
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 444.04 1.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 162.64 161.56 0.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 157.99 155.96 1.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 148.48 144.12 3.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 156.68 154.94 1.12

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 828.75
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 893.19 937.88 848.50 893.19 2 -- 1 -0.83
Annual 12/1/20 873.22 903.00 816.60 900.05 3 1 2 -0.64
Annual 12/1/19 850.41 858.82 842.00 850.41 2 1 1 1.85
Quarterly 3/1/20 215.64 215.64 215.64 215.64 1 -- 1 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 224.46 224.46 224.46 224.46 1 1 -- 1.01
Quarterly 9/1/20 229.27 229.27 229.27 229.27 1 -- -- -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 215.45 224.60 206.30 215.45 2 2 -- 2.46

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 828.75 799.60 3.65
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 730.65 0.58
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 643.29 -1.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 218.69 213.85 2.26
Quarterly 6/1/19 212.40 214.98 -1.20
Quarterly 3/1/19 203.14 204.21 -0.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 209.80 207.97 0.88

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.37 3.40 3.33 3.37 2 1 1 4.83
Annual 12/1/20 3.23 3.36 3.13 3.21 4 2 2 1.02
Annual 12/1/19 3.11 3.31 2.99 3.03 3 2 1 2.64
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1 1 -- 1.86
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 1 -- -- 1.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.83 0.90 0.79 0.79 3 1 -- 6.67

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 3.00 9.18
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 2.82 33.33
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.66 9.40
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.83 0.78 5.96
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.81 0.75 7.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.74 0.69 7.25
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.76 5.96

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,754.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5,469.21 5,469.21 5,469.21 5,469.21 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 5,311.53 5,311.53 5,311.53 5,311.53 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5,141.93 5,141.93 5,141.93 5,141.93 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,754.02 4,211.68 12.88
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 415.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 462.97 490.80 445.87 457.60 4 1 1 0.16
Annual 12/1/20 443.74 458.40 428.64 441.10 5 3 -- 0.72
Annual 12/1/19 419.47 423.60 414.78 419.75 4 3 -- 0.81
Quarterly 3/1/20 106.30 106.80 105.80 106.30 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 111.20 113.60 108.81 111.20 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 114.62 120.90 108.34 114.62 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 109.81 112.80 107.19 109.63 4 2 1 0.03

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 415.29 404.68 2.62
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 368.24 27.88
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 338.02 8.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 108.09 108.89 -0.74
Quarterly 6/1/19 104.83 105.14 -0.29
Quarterly 3/1/19 94.77 91.72 3.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 101.46 101.28 0.18

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 507.23 507.23 507.23 507.23 1 -- 1 -1.02
Annual 12/1/19 482.28 482.28 482.28 482.28 1 -- 1 -0.37

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 18.60 18.60 18.60 18.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 18.04 18.40 17.67 18.04 2 -- -- -1.37
Annual 12/1/19 12.70 17.13 3.97 17.00 3 -- -- -0.60

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 17.43 16.58 0.86
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 11.69 8.80
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 11.84 5.06

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,039.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,259.64 1,326.93 1,218.00 1,234.00 3 2 -- 0.67
Annual 12/1/20 1,216.58 1,337.10 1,175.10 1,188.82 6 4 -- -1.42
Annual 12/1/19 1,131.07 1,136.02 1,126.77 1,130.75 4 4 -- 0.66
Quarterly 3/1/20 300.07 326.55 287.40 293.16 4 2 -- 0.42
Quarterly 6/1/20 307.06 333.20 294.20 300.41 4 2 -- 0.56
Quarterly 9/1/20 312.30 337.10 299.04 306.53 4 1 -- 0.24
Quarterly 12/1/19 296.93 326.30 285.26 290.60 5 3 1 0.92

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,039.34 1,038.39 0.09
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Quarterly 9/1/19 290.92 291.07 -0.05
Quarterly 6/1/19 279.58 300.83 -7.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 271.00 279.39 -3.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 266.60 273.80 -2.63

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 32.71 34.91 33.08

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 6.54 5.53 4.93

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