Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 116.85
Price - 52 Week High: 124.46
Price - 52 Week Low: 83.70
Price Date (Latest): 9/19/19
Median Price Target: 117.50
Diff from Prev Close: 0.65
% Difference: 0.56

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.67

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.20
Yield (%): 3.08

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.36 3.61 3.21 3.35 5 1 1 -0.64
Annual 12/1/20 3.23 3.36 3.13 3.23 7 2 1 -0.17
Annual 12/1/19 3.06 3.08 3.03 3.05 5 2 -- 0.66
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.76 0.78 0.72 0.78 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.81 0.83 0.77 0.82 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.81 0.84 0.79 0.80 5 2 -- 0.50
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.80 0.82 0.78 0.79 5 2 -- 0.25

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 2.88 13.70
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.77 0.75 3.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.74 0.69 7.25
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.76 5.96
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.02 0.75 35.40

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.61 17.61 17.61 17.61 1 -- 1 -0.45
Annual 12/1/20 17.65 17.65 17.65 17.65 1 1 -- 0.23
Annual 12/1/19 17.73 17.73 17.73 17.73 1 1 -- 0.51

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 18.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 77.51 -75.93
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 70.31 -74.64

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.36
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.83 4.05 3.44 3.89 5 1 1 -0.14
Annual 12/1/20 3.71 3.79 3.44 3.74 9 1 2 -0.50
Annual 12/1/19 3.55 3.57 3.44 3.56 9 1 1 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.89 0.90 0.86 0.90 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.89 0.90 0.86 0.90 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.36 3.35 0.43
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 3.14 -0.68
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 2.94 -0.40
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.88 2.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.86 0.86 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.86 0.84 2.38
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.86 0.84 2.38

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 619.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 623.92 703.82 544.02 623.92 2 1 -- 0.21
Annual 12/1/20 672.22 676.09 668.00 672.58 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 626.98 635.20 616.00 629.73 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 160.24 160.24 160.24 160.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 166.75 166.75 166.75 166.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 161.56 163.52 159.61 161.56 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 164.43 165.21 163.65 164.43 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 619.70 584.79 5.97
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 520.86 3.98
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 444.04 1.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 157.99 155.96 1.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 148.48 144.12 3.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 156.68 154.94 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/18 153.59 155.13 -0.99

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 828.75
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 900.69 937.88 863.50 900.69 2 1 -- 0.64
Annual 12/1/20 887.93 922.00 820.00 899.20 5 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 845.06 862.60 799.30 854.48 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/20 217.59 219.52 215.65 217.59 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/20 224.79 227.36 222.22 224.79 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 213.85 219.45 203.70 218.39 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 213.46 220.56 200.00 219.81 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 828.75 799.60 3.65
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 730.65 0.58
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 643.29 -1.69
Quarterly 6/1/19 212.40 214.98 -1.20
Quarterly 3/1/19 203.14 204.21 -0.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 209.80 207.97 0.88
Quarterly 9/1/18 205.87 201.08 2.39

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.22 3.35 3.09 3.22 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.19 3.24 3.04 3.22 5 2 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/19 3.02 3.07 2.94 3.05 5 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.77 0.78 0.76 0.77 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.81 0.82 0.80 0.81 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.79 0.80 0.77 0.79 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.78 3 1 -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 3.00 9.18
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 2.82 33.33
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.66 9.40
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.81 0.75 7.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.74 0.69 7.25
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.76 5.96
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.02 0.76 33.77

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,754.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5,469.21 5,469.21 5,469.21 5,469.21 1 1 -- 11.05
Annual 12/1/20 5,311.53 5,311.53 5,311.53 5,311.53 1 1 -- 5.09
Annual 12/1/19 5,141.93 5,141.93 5,141.93 5,141.93 1 -- 1 -0.56

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,754.02 4,211.68 12.88
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 415.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 462.34 491.20 445.87 456.15 4 -- 1 -0.43
Annual 12/1/20 440.38 457.60 428.64 436.80 7 2 -- 0.68
Annual 12/1/19 415.55 423.60 406.00 415.61 7 2 -- 0.37
Quarterly 3/1/20 105.89 106.10 105.77 105.80 3 2 -- 1.87
Quarterly 6/1/20 111.42 113.50 108.81 111.95 3 2 -- 1.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 108.92 114.94 104.72 108.08 6 2 -- 0.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 108.89 112.60 106.36 108.13 6 2 -- 0.85

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 415.29 404.68 2.62
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 368.24 27.88
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 338.02 8.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 103.88 105.14 -1.20
Quarterly 3/1/19 94.77 91.72 3.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 101.46 101.28 0.18
Quarterly 9/1/18 130.42 92.49 41.01

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 512.44 512.44 512.44 512.44 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 484.06 484.06 484.06 484.06 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 18.60 18.60 18.60 18.60 1 -- -- -3.13
Annual 12/1/20 18.29 18.90 17.67 18.29 2 -- -- -0.87
Annual 12/1/19 12.78 17.30 3.90 17.13 3 -- -- 1.54

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 17.43 16.58 0.86
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 11.69 8.80
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 11.84 5.06

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,039.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,251.58 1,326.93 1,201.00 1,226.80 3 1 -- 0.22
Annual 12/1/20 1,210.01 1,394.00 1,118.80 1,184.29 9 2 1 0.17
Annual 12/1/19 1,116.91 1,130.20 1,097.40 1,114.55 7 2 -- 0.08
Quarterly 3/1/20 294.78 326.55 279.43 291.04 5 2 1 0.42
Quarterly 6/1/20 301.58 333.20 285.15 295.58 5 2 1 0.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 290.90 325.00 282.00 287.63 7 3 -- 0.50
Quarterly 12/1/19 290.30 326.30 280.57 283.70 7 3 -- 0.43

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,039.34 1,038.39 0.09
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Quarterly 6/1/19 279.58 300.83 -7.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 271.00 279.39 -3.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 266.60 273.80 -2.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 266.73 271.05 -1.60

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 35.73 38.23 36.21

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 6.27 5.57 4.23

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