Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 100.66
Price - 52 Week High: 101.96
Price - 52 Week Low: 82.80
Price Date (Latest): 3/22/19
Median Price Target: 98.33
Diff from Prev Close: -2.33
% Difference: -2.31

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.54

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.35
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 25.11
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 42.64
Yield (%): 3.32

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.36 3.54 3.18 3.36 2 -- 1 -0.74
Annual 12/1/20 3.26 3.36 3.10 3.30 4 -- 1 1.00
Annual 12/1/19 3.04 3.07 2.99 3.04 4 -- 3 -1.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.80 0.81 0.78 0.80 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.81 0.83 0.78 0.81 2 -- -- --
Long Term Growth 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 2.88 13.70
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.76 5.96
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.02 0.75 35.40
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 0.69 8.17
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 0.65 7.28

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 17.78 17.78 17.78 17.78 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 17.71 17.71 17.71 17.71 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 18.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 18.99 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 18.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 18.57 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.59 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.29 1.12 15.18

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.36
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.90 4.48 3.44 3.79 3 -- -- 7.35
Annual 12/1/20 3.69 4.07 3.28 3.75 9 -- -- 0.29
Annual 12/1/19 3.50 3.70 3.20 3.57 9 -- 1 -0.94
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.84 0.86 0.80 0.86 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.90 0.80 0.86 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.85 0.90 0.80 0.86 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.85 0.90 0.80 0.86 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.36 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 619.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 512.37 543.68 481.05 512.37 2 -- -- -5.56
Annual 12/1/20 639.61 674.74 529.05 664.66 5 1 1 6.30
Annual 12/1/19 613.95 630.50 575.64 623.50 5 3 1 -0.41
Quarterly 3/1/19 143.88 144.34 143.11 144.20 3 -- 2 -1.61
Quarterly 6/1/19 155.69 157.40 154.57 155.11 3 1 1 1.37
Quarterly 9/1/19 163.60 165.10 161.18 164.51 3 2 -- 1.31
Quarterly 12/1/19 164.86 167.92 162.87 163.80 3 1 -- -0.60

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 619.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 156.68 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 153.59 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 144.72 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 133.91 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 828.75
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 962.42 962.42 962.42 962.42 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 907.02 920.30 888.14 906.00 5 -- 1 -0.60
Annual 12/1/19 851.71 868.80 844.00 850.49 5 1 2 -0.57
Quarterly 3/1/19 199.01 199.01 199.01 199.01 1 -- 1 0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 210.16 210.16 210.16 210.16 1 1 -- 0.38
Quarterly 9/1/19 216.53 216.53 216.53 216.53 1 1 -- 0.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 218.58 218.58 218.58 218.58 1 -- -- 0.47

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 828.75 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 209.80 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 205.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 196.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 185.66 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/20 3.20 3.36 3.10 3.15 3 -- -- 2.76
Annual 12/1/19 3.00 3.06 2.94 2.99 3 -- 3 -2.34
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.68 0.69 0.67 0.68 2 -- 1 2.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.74 2 1 -- 0.68
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.78 2 -- -- 0.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 2 -- -- 1.28

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.27 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.02 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,754.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4,500.98 4,500.98 4,500.98 4,500.98 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 4,431.34 4,590.22 4,272.46 4,431.34 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4,361.34 4,697.28 4,025.41 4,361.34 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 4,915.50 4,915.50 4,915.50 4,915.50 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 4,916.18 4,916.18 4,916.18 4,916.18 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,754.02 4,211.68 12.88
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14
Quarterly 12/1/18 4,754.02 4,820.96 -1.39
Quarterly 9/1/18 4,716.08 4,763.62 -1.00
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,478.84 4,525.55 -1.03

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 415.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 328.71 433.00 224.41 328.71 2 -- 1 -1.38
Annual 12/1/20 406.80 460.18 286.71 426.85 6 -- 3 1.44
Annual 12/1/19 393.45 411.40 348.18 403.15 6 1 4 -0.80
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.21 93.20 89.04 91.29 4 -- 2 0.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 98.68 103.40 94.45 98.43 4 -- 2 -0.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 105.29 108.10 101.26 105.90 4 -- 2 -1.43
Quarterly 12/1/19 105.96 109.86 102.07 105.95 4 1 1 0.09

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 415.29 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 101.46 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 130.42 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 95.15 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 88.26 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 582.41 653.00 511.82 582.41 2 -- -- 12.60
Annual 12/1/19 539.50 602.00 476.99 539.50 2 1 1 -0.80

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 19.17 19.40 18.93 19.17 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 12.71 17.31 3.53 17.30 3 -- 1 -42.80
Quarterly 3/1/19 17.95 17.95 17.95 17.95 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 20.16 20.16 20.16 20.16 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 17.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 15.04 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,039.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,308.14 1,403.18 1,213.10 1,308.14 2 -- 1 -0.89
Annual 12/1/20 1,212.04 1,390.00 1,110.40 1,181.38 7 1 -- 2.07
Annual 12/1/19 1,126.23 1,276.05 1,080.60 1,098.35 6 2 1 -0.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 279.88 312.40 262.50 266.55 6 1 2 -1.17
Quarterly 6/1/19 287.33 315.90 271.10 274.90 6 2 1 -0.38
Quarterly 9/1/19 295.11 326.35 277.30 283.77 6 2 1 -0.31
Quarterly 12/1/19 299.22 328.43 273.60 288.33 7 2 -- -0.99

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,039.34 1,038.39 0.09
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 266.60 273.80 -2.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 266.73 271.05 -1.60
Quarterly 6/1/18 258.13 260.98 -1.09
Quarterly 3/1/18 247.89 254.24 -2.50

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 33.17 26.01 1.28
FY1 30.85 24.31 1.27
FY2 29.98 23.54 1.27

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -7.19 5.73 0.88
FY2/FY1 7.50 6.51 1.01
FY3/FY2 7.50 6.51 1.01

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