Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 89.56 Median Price Target: 89.43
Price - 52 Week High 89.62 Diff from Prev Close: -0.13
Price - 52 Week Low 71.34 % Difference: -0.15%
Price Date (Latest): Apr 19, 2018    

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.6

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.14
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 26.55
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 43.00
Yield (%): 3.51

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.20 3.49 2.63 3.42 5 -- -- -7.22
Annual 12/1/19 3.01 3.26 2.63 3.08 6 -- -- -5.34
Annual 12/1/18 2.86 3.10 2.68 2.84 6 -- 1 -0.49
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.65 0.71 0.62 0.64 4 1 -- -1.15
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.72 0.77 0.67 0.72 4 -- -- -7.32
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.75 0.80 0.71 0.74 4 -- -- -7.38
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.72 0.82 0.68 0.70 4 1 -- 3.11
Long Term Growth 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 1.79 -12.69
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.63 0.70 134.53
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 0.72 2.42
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.69 0.65 5.50
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.64 0.57 11.50

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 19.12 19.12 19.12 19.12 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 18.41 18.41 18.41 18.41 1 -- -- 0.43
Annual 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 74.88 74.88 74.88 74.88 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 76.12 76.12 76.12 76.12 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 77.39 77.39 77.39 77.39 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.83 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 17.58 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 17.64 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 17.76 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.16 5.16 5.16 5.16 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4.95 4.95 4.95 4.95 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23
Annual 12/1/15 3.02 2.87 5.23
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.10 1.12 -1.79
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.21 1.16 4.31
Quarterly 6/1/17 1.32 1.08 22.22
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.85 1.01 -15.84

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.67 4.24 3.12 3.65 7 -- -- -6.27
Annual 12/1/19 3.48 3.86 3.12 3.44 9 -- -- -0.46
Annual 12/1/18 3.28 3.47 3.12 3.28 9 -- 1 -2.75
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.79 0.83 0.78 0.78 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.80 0.83 0.78 0.80 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.82 0.84 0.78 0.83 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.82 0.84 0.78 0.83 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.24 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 541.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 515.17 551.80 489.84 503.88 3 -- -- -1.10
Annual 12/1/19 573.25 634.00 518.45 570.28 4 3 -- 7.41
Annual 12/1/18 553.46 588.43 502.52 561.44 4 3 -- 1.37
Quarterly 3/1/18 127.82 138.18 117.45 127.82 2 2 -- -2.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 137.07 151.27 122.86 137.07 2 2 -- -0.97
Quarterly 9/1/18 140.67 151.95 129.38 140.67 2 2 -- -2.04
Quarterly 12/1/18 139.94 147.03 132.84 139.94 2 1 -- 1.02

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 294.66 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 141.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 139.88 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 136.41 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 124.20 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 734.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 854.75 939.42 770.84 854.00 3 -- -- 9.82
Annual 12/1/19 832.63 878.00 738.72 848.29 8 5 -- 0.26
Annual 12/1/18 782.09 814.00 708.44 794.00 9 6 1 -1.08
Quarterly 3/1/18 181.07 191.30 168.40 182.29 4 1 2 -3.45
Quarterly 6/1/18 190.97 201.31 174.17 194.20 4 2 1 -1.25
Quarterly 9/1/18 195.44 204.00 181.04 198.36 4 2 1 -2.06
Quarterly 12/1/18 195.19 204.00 184.84 195.96 4 1 1 -1.58

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 428.11 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 190.27 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 187.96 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 183.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 173.64 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2.82 3.01 2.63 2.82 2 -- 1 -8.16
Annual 12/1/19 2.92 3.20 2.63 2.93 4 -- 2 -0.14
Annual 12/1/18 2.88 3.15 2.68 2.88 5 2 2 0.40
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.64 0.68 0.62 0.62 3 -- -- -0.78
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.72 0.77 0.67 0.73 3 1 -- -5.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.74 0.76 0.71 0.75 3 1 -- -2.70
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.72 0.68 0.69 3 -- -- -3.35

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.69 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.64 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,498.53
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,544.81 4,784.47 4,265.07 4,584.89 3 -- -- -5.27
Annual 12/1/19 7,427.22 13,541.35 4,011.20 4,729.10 3 -- -- 41.16
Annual 12/1/18 7,281.01 13,466.35 3,728.53 4,648.16 3 -- -- 42.48
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,525.55 4,525.55 4,525.55 4,525.55 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 4,581.59 4,581.59 4,581.59 4,581.59 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 4,604.87 4,604.87 4,604.87 4,604.87 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 4,648.16 4,648.16 4,648.16 4,648.16 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14
Annual 12/1/15 3,459.82 3,376.79 2.46
Quarterly 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,396.68 2.32
Quarterly 9/1/17 4,249.28 4,429.28 -4.06
Quarterly 6/1/17 4,257.06 4,398.65 -3.22
Quarterly 3/1/17 4,262.14 4,306.75 -1.04

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 470.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 371.01 431.23 280.17 386.33 4 -- -- -16.23
Annual 12/1/19 374.81 430.00 309.81 370.71 6 2 3 3.17
Annual 12/1/18 378.43 426.52 350.43 376.12 7 -- 1 -0.85
Quarterly 3/1/18 84.53 90.01 81.11 83.51 4 1 1 -4.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 94.39 98.98 90.40 94.09 4 1 1 1.09
Quarterly 9/1/18 97.38 100.80 92.29 98.22 4 1 1 -1.52
Quarterly 12/1/18 95.21 102.94 91.60 93.16 4 2 -- 2.69

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 189.47 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 207.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 93.76 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 87.01 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 82.28 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 461.82 461.82 461.82 461.82 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 516.47 587.00 445.93 516.47 2 1 -- 1.43

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 20.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.56 17.83 9.28 13.56 2 -- -- -31.54
Annual 12/1/19 17.77 19.50 16.62 17.20 3 -- -- 3.23
Annual 12/1/18 13.47 16.90 4.24 16.37 4 -- 2 0.06
Quarterly 3/1/18 15.69 15.69 15.69 15.69 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 16.97 16.97 16.97 16.97 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.55 17.55 17.55 17.55 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 17.42 17.42 17.42 17.42 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.90 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.91 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 15.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 14.69 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 967.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,238.94 1,342.04 1,152.50 1,222.29 3 -- -- 15.15
Annual 12/1/19 1,147.81 1,320.00 1,042.00 1,107.53 7 -- 3 0.90
Annual 12/1/18 1,032.57 1,063.41 1,009.70 1,033.40 6 2 3 -1.05
Quarterly 3/1/18 254.24 278.15 240.62 250.30 5 -- 4 1.90
Quarterly 6/1/18 264.02 284.21 256.85 258.38 5 2 2 2.42
Quarterly 9/1/18 271.92 290.50 263.67 267.11 5 2 2 2.56
Quarterly 12/1/18 273.39 294.48 262.88 269.98 5 1 1 5.83

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Annual 12/1/15 676.14 664.45 1.76
Quarterly 12/1/17 246.35 247.50 -0.46
Quarterly 9/1/17 248.59 247.52 0.43
Quarterly 6/1/17 240.80 238.48 0.97
Quarterly 3/1/17 231.49 232.02 -0.23

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 31.32 -0.15 -212.66
FY1 29.71 -3.04 -9.76
FY2 28.03 29.41 0.95

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -22.72 12.51 0.69
FY2/FY1 5.41 7.03 0.98
FY3/FY2 5.41 7.03 0.98

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