Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 87.38 Median Price Target: 98.08
Price - 52 Week High 101.96 Diff from Prev Close: 10.70
Price - 52 Week Low 76.55 % Difference: 12.24%
Price Date (Latest): Sep 21, 2018    

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.57

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.14
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 26.25
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 42.71
Yield (%): 3.59

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.15 3.25 3.01 3.17 4 2 1 -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 3.07 3.20 2.92 3.10 6 1 1 -0.03
Annual 12/1/18 2.92 2.99 2.88 2.90 4 1 -- 1.43
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.75 0.76 0.74 0.76 3 2 -- 2.21
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.76 0.77 0.74 0.77 3 2 -- 1.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 1 -- 1 -7.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1 -- 1 --
Long Term Growth 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 1.79 -12.69
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 0.69 8.17
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 0.65 7.28
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.63 0.70 134.53
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 0.72 2.42

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 17.37 17.37 17.37 17.37 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 17.44 17.44 17.44 17.44 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 77.39 77.39 77.39 77.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.83 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 18.57 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.59 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 17.58 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.73 4.73 4.73 4.73 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23
Annual 12/1/15 3.02 2.87 5.23
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.29 1.12 15.18
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.10 1.12 -1.79
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.21 1.16 4.31

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.65 4.07 3.28 3.68 6 2 1 1.55
Annual 12/1/19 3.53 3.77 3.20 3.57 10 2 1 1.16
Annual 12/1/18 3.32 3.36 3.12 3.36 10 2 1 0.90
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.84 0.86 0.78 0.86 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.84 0.86 0.78 0.86 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.24 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 541.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 569.04 657.00 517.94 532.19 3 3 -- 2.00
Annual 12/1/19 610.21 634.00 551.39 627.72 4 3 -- 1.18
Annual 12/1/18 582.98 590.89 572.13 584.45 4 3 -- 1.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 155.67 155.74 155.60 155.67 2 2 -- 1.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 156.11 156.52 155.70 156.11 2 2 -- 1.14
Quarterly 3/1/19 146.04 147.07 145.00 146.04 2 2 -- 0.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 151.03 157.70 144.35 151.03 2 1 -- 1.26

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 294.66 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 144.72 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 133.91 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 141.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 139.88 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 734.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 897.71 954.32 862.20 876.60 3 1 1 0.03
Annual 12/1/19 849.70 878.00 811.60 844.01 8 4 2 0.05
Annual 12/1/18 788.16 800.00 756.80 790.00 7 4 2 -0.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 201.35 207.68 195.40 201.16 4 3 1 0.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 203.43 208.57 197.30 203.92 4 3 1 1.02
Quarterly 3/1/19 199.61 200.10 199.12 199.61 2 2 -- 1.05
Quarterly 6/1/19 203.08 209.76 196.39 203.08 2 1 -- -3.29

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 428.11 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 196.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 185.66 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 190.27 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 187.96 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.09 3.16 3.01 3.09 2 2 -- 0.97
Annual 12/1/19 3.08 3.20 2.92 3.08 5 2 -- 0.84
Annual 12/1/18 2.91 2.99 2.87 2.90 4 1 1 0.86
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.76 0.77 0.76 0.76 4 2 -- 1.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.77 4 2 -- 2.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 1 -- -1.43
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.69 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,498.53
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,806.27 5,455.80 4,156.74 4,806.27 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4,582.32 5,178.36 3,986.28 4,582.32 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4,331.74 4,888.78 3,774.70 4,331.74 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 4,763.62 4,763.62 4,763.62 4,763.62 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 4,820.96 4,820.96 4,820.96 4,820.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14
Annual 12/1/15 3,459.82 3,376.79 2.46
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,478.84 4,525.55 -1.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,396.68 2.32
Quarterly 9/1/17 4,249.28 4,429.28 -4.06

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 470.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 392.96 428.00 301.64 421.11 4 2 -- 0.76
Annual 12/1/19 396.28 430.00 333.71 400.97 7 2 1 0.18
Annual 12/1/18 377.59 387.60 345.51 384.58 7 4 2 0.39
Quarterly 9/1/18 92.49 102.30 61.62 100.97 5 3 2 -6.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 100.52 102.30 97.74 100.48 5 4 1 2.02
Quarterly 3/1/19 92.60 93.60 91.60 92.60 2 1 1 -0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 100.54 103.30 97.77 100.54 2 1 1 1.51

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 189.47 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 95.15 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 88.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 207.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 93.76 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 553.28 626.00 480.56 553.28 2 1 -- 13.11
Annual 12/1/18 512.82 571.00 454.64 512.82 2 1 -- 11.33

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 20.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 18.19 18.19 18.19 18.19 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 18.21 19.40 17.01 18.21 2 1 1 1.04
Annual 12/1/18 16.57 16.90 16.23 16.57 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 19.32 19.32 19.32 19.32 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 19.05 19.05 19.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 17.95 17.95 17.95 17.95 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 15.04 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.91 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 967.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,209.79 1,362.47 1,094.00 1,172.90 3 1 2 -0.81
Annual 12/1/19 1,113.44 1,255.81 1,059.70 1,106.82 8 4 3 -0.32
Annual 12/1/18 1,039.06 1,046.87 1,032.30 1,039.59 6 4 2 0.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 271.05 300.33 262.60 267.06 7 4 3 0.09
Quarterly 12/1/18 271.43 299.12 261.40 267.06 7 4 3 0.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 273.56 302.65 260.20 268.32 5 2 2 2.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 279.69 312.37 265.33 275.25 5 1 2 2.52

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Annual 12/1/15 676.14 664.45 1.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 258.13 260.98 -1.09
Quarterly 3/1/18 247.89 254.24 -2.50
Quarterly 12/1/17 246.35 247.50 -0.46
Quarterly 9/1/17 248.59 247.52 0.43

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 29.93 27.77 1.08
FY1 28.44 26.60 1.07
FY2 27.76 25.11 1.11

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -21.10 26.54 0.62
FY2/FY1 5.24 6.69 0.99
FY3/FY2 5.24 6.69 0.99

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