Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 92.56 Median Price Target: 98.54
Price - 52 Week High 101.96 Diff from Prev Close: 5.98
Price - 52 Week Low 74.44 % Difference: 6.46%
Price Date (Latest): Aug 14, 2018    

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.57

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.14
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 26.25
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 42.71
Yield (%): 3.39

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.15 3.28 2.96 3.18 4 -- 2 -1.73
Annual 12/1/19 3.05 3.20 2.85 3.07 6 -- 2 -0.24
Annual 12/1/18 2.88 2.99 2.74 2.88 6 1 1 1.20
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.75 0.77 0.70 0.76 4 -- 1 0.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.74 0.77 0.71 0.74 4 -- 1 1.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 1 -- 1 -7.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 1 -- 1 -6.16
Long Term Growth 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 1.79 -12.69
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 0.69 8.17
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 0.65 7.28
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.63 0.70 134.53
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 0.72 2.42

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 18.87 18.87 18.87 18.87 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 18.21 18.21 18.21 18.21 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 77.39 77.39 77.39 77.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.83 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 18.57 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.59 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 17.58 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.73 4.73 4.73 4.73 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23
Annual 12/1/15 3.02 2.87 5.23
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.29 1.12 15.18
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.10 1.12 -1.79
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.21 1.16 4.31

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.60 4.07 3.12 3.67 6 1 1 0.19
Annual 12/1/19 3.49 3.77 3.12 3.53 10 2 2 -0.06
Annual 12/1/18 3.30 3.40 3.12 3.36 10 1 2 0.24
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.82 0.86 0.78 0.82 4 2 -- 1.22
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.82 0.86 0.78 0.82 4 2 -- 1.22
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.24 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 541.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 569.04 657.00 517.93 532.19 3 3 -- 3.03
Annual 12/1/19 610.25 634.00 551.39 627.80 4 3 -- 1.67
Annual 12/1/18 582.99 590.93 572.13 584.45 4 3 -- 1.83
Quarterly 9/1/18 155.67 155.73 155.60 155.67 2 2 -- 1.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 156.14 156.57 155.70 156.14 2 2 -- 3.74
Quarterly 3/1/19 146.12 147.24 145.00 146.12 2 2 -- 3.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 151.03 157.70 144.35 151.03 2 1 -- 1.26

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 294.66 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 144.72 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 133.91 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 141.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 139.88 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 734.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 897.47 954.32 862.20 875.90 3 -- 2 -0.39
Annual 12/1/19 849.56 878.00 810.30 844.01 8 3 3 -0.10
Annual 12/1/18 787.79 800.00 754.30 790.00 7 3 3 -0.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 201.27 207.56 195.20 201.16 4 2 2 0.47
Quarterly 12/1/18 203.26 208.61 196.60 203.92 4 2 2 0.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 199.69 200.10 199.28 199.69 2 2 -- 1.52
Quarterly 6/1/19 203.08 209.76 196.39 203.08 2 1 -- -3.29

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 428.11 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 196.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 185.66 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 190.27 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 187.96 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.03 3.10 2.96 3.03 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 3.06 3.20 2.85 3.06 5 1 1 0.85
Annual 12/1/18 2.91 2.99 2.87 2.88 4 -- 2 0.52
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.76 4 -- 1 1.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.76 4 -- 1 3.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 1 1 -- 7.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.69 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,498.53
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,388.62 4,620.50 4,156.74 4,388.62 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 4,344.62 4,702.97 3,986.28 4,344.62 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 4,272.73 4,770.76 3,774.70 4,272.73 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 4,763.62 4,763.62 4,763.62 4,763.62 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 4,820.96 4,820.96 4,820.96 4,820.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14
Annual 12/1/15 3,459.82 3,376.79 2.46
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,478.84 4,525.55 -1.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,396.68 2.32
Quarterly 9/1/17 4,249.28 4,429.28 -4.06

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 470.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 388.44 428.00 301.64 412.07 4 2 1 2.84
Annual 12/1/19 394.35 430.00 333.71 397.41 7 2 2 1.38
Annual 12/1/18 381.14 387.60 375.07 382.66 7 2 2 1.21
Quarterly 9/1/18 99.17 102.30 95.85 99.70 5 1 2 0.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.38 101.90 96.62 100.03 5 1 2 0.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 92.69 93.60 91.77 92.69 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 101.67 103.30 100.04 101.67 2 1 -- 2.61

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 189.47 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 95.15 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 88.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 207.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 93.76 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 480.72 480.72 480.72 480.72 1 1 -- 3.49
Annual 12/1/18 454.72 454.72 454.72 454.72 1 1 -- 3.56

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 20.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 17.69 17.69 17.69 17.69 1 1 -- -7.12
Annual 12/1/19 18.07 19.50 16.63 18.07 2 1 -- -1.80
Annual 12/1/18 16.27 16.90 15.63 16.27 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 19.32 19.32 19.32 19.32 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 19.05 19.05 19.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 17.95 17.95 17.95 17.95 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 15.04 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.91 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 967.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,264.30 1,362.77 1,094.00 1,300.21 4 2 1 -0.16
Annual 12/1/19 1,136.90 1,296.47 1,059.70 1,108.32 8 3 3 1.96
Annual 12/1/18 1,067.68 1,220.35 1,032.30 1,037.07 6 3 2 3.31
Quarterly 9/1/18 277.37 313.08 262.60 267.06 7 3 3 2.60
Quarterly 12/1/18 277.65 315.32 261.40 267.06 7 3 2 2.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 273.29 302.65 260.20 267.85 5 1 2 2.81
Quarterly 6/1/19 279.94 312.37 265.32 276.54 5 1 1 2.61

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Annual 12/1/15 676.14 664.45 1.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 296.81 260.98 13.73
Quarterly 3/1/18 247.89 254.24 -2.50
Quarterly 12/1/17 246.35 247.50 -0.46
Quarterly 9/1/17 248.59 247.52 0.43

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 32.18 27.99 1.15
FY1 30.32 26.16 1.16
FY2 29.41 24.64 1.19

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -22.27 26.34 0.62
FY2/FY1 6.12 7.10 0.99
FY3/FY2 6.12 7.10 0.99

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